Closing birdie saves Mickelson

Golf Betting Lines

07/16/2010 - St. Andrews, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the wind picking up, the cut line will likely climb through Friday afternoon, and possibly into Saturday morning, at the British Open.

Phil Mickelson birdied the 18th hole Friday to post a one-under 71, which got him back to even-par for the championship.

He was lucky enough to finish his round before the wind really started blowing. Not long after Mickelson completed his round, play was suspended by high wind as golf balls were getting moved around on greens by the wind.

This is the first suspension due to high winds since the 1998 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale.

Mickelson had an inconsistent round with an eagle, three birdies and four bogeys, but his closing birdie all but guaranteed his spot in the field for the final two rounds.

"I've got to play better. I've got to go out and make some birdies tomorrow," Mickelson stated. "I also need some conditions to be able to do it and a little bit of luck for it to turn."

The Masters champion walked off the 18th green on the Old Course at St. Andrews tied for 68th place with the top 70 and ties slated for the weekend.

Mickelson opened his round with a birdie on the third. After a par on four, he rolled in an eagle putt at the par-five fifth to move to minus-two.

However, Mickelson saw his par-saving putt on the sixth lip out. He parred the next two holes, before converting a 15-footer for birdie on the ninth to turn in two-under.

On the back nine, Mickelson fought both the wind and his swing. He hit several drives out to the left and it cost him on the 12th. His drive stopped in high rough and behind some bleachers.

Mickelson chipped sideways, then pitched his third to about 30 feet. He two- putted for bogey. At the par-five 14th, Mickelson's par putt lipped out and that dropped him back to even-par for the championship.

After a pair of pars, Mickelson found the left rough off the tee at the Road Hole, No. 17. He was unable to reach the green with his second and walked off with another bogey that dropped him to plus-one overall.

Mickelson drove left of the 18th green and played his second to 10 feet. He rolled that in for a closing birdie to get back to minus-one for the day.

"I'm going to need some luck, I didn't play well these first two days," said Mickelson. "I have to go out tomorrow and have prefect conditions and play a great round, and then I need it to blow like this in the afternoon. I need some luck."

Mickelson has made the cut in 13 of his first 16 British Open appearances, but has just one top-10 finish in those 13 Opens. He took third in 2004 and his second-best finish came on the Old Course in 2000. Mickelson shared 11th that year, but he was 12 strokes behind Tiger Woods.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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